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Morgan Stanley analysts say that if trade relations between China and the United States deteriorate further and push the U.S. economy into recession, the Federal Reserve (FED/Federal Reserve) may reduce U.S. interest rates to near zero by the spring of 2020.
Such a terrible scenario would push the S&P 500 index. SPX to 2,400 points, nearly 500 points or 17% below its current level, while the 10-year Treasury yield on the U.S. benchmark would fall 33 basis points from its current level, reaching 1.75% later this year, they wrote in a report released Monday entitled "Beyond the G20".

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