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The first two months of this year Chinese industrial and investment performance far exceeded expectations, consumption steady, strong data combined with previously published foreign trade, means to open Chinese three carriages China force together, the economy maintained a growth rate in the first quarter of last year, the toughness may be inferior to the end of last year.
Analysts believe that the industrial growth rate hit more than half year highs, mainly due to the low base and low temperature power generation coal consumption growth, while investment in real estate to pull, but in the new construction, land acquisition and sales area are slow, the growth rate of real estate investment follow-up can outshine the doubt, coupled with the economic Chinese the future will pay more attention to the development of high quality, the province has reduced GDP, investment growth target, economic growth is slowing down is acceptable, but also affect the implementation of growth target of around 6.5% this year.
"With the logical growth of steady growth in consumption, continued growth in import and export growth and weak real estate investment performance, the possibility of rapid economic decline in the future is relatively low. Huatai Securities Macro Analyst Li Chao commented that the previous two months of industrial added value and real estate investment growth rate is higher than the annual value of 2017.
He pointed out that the economic performance was stronger and the expectations of overlooking the economy before the market needed to be amended. He believes that the current central bank is more optimistic about the fundamentals of the economy than the market, and that monetary policy is still tight at the marginal level.
Chinese National Bureau of statistics released on Wednesday, 1-2 months of above scale industrial added value grew 7.2%, far higher than the median forecast in a Reuters poll of 6.1%, the highest since June last year, a new high; fixed asset investment grew 7.9%, also higher than the median forecast in a Reuters poll of 7%, the cumulative value of last July to the highest, the fixed asset investment rose by folk 8.1%; the total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 9.7%, slightly lower than the median forecast in a Reuters poll of 9.8%.
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