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        Zhang Bin: China's outbreak of the financial crisis is very very low probability


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In late March 2017, following the northeastern Huishan dairy debt crisis, Qixing Group, Tianxin Group and a number of Shandong enterprises also fall into the quagmire of debt, almost fermented into regional financial risks.

April 25, the CPC Central Committee Political Bureau specifically to safeguard the national financial security for a collective study. Zhou Xiaochuan, Guo Shuqing, Liu Shiyu, Chen Wenhui and his party will lead all the three meetings. The meeting clearly called "to ensure that there is no systemic financial risk", requiring measures to deal with risk points, control the leverage rate, for the real economy to create a favorable financial environment, and clear the financial access to the real economy channels.

What is the current situation in China? Where can the possible debt risk come from? Phoenix Finance interviewed China Financial 40 people forum senior researcher Zhang Bin.

Zhang Bin in the interview on the Phoenix Finance said that the financial crisis is worried about the past two or three years to decide a lot of policy development within a main line, including "three to one down one", including "new normal" are worried about debt growth Too soon outbreak of the financial crisis has a great relationship.

He divided the debt into the residents, enterprises, government departments were studied. He found that the disposable income of the residents sector is about 40 trillion, minus the residents of the consumption of more than 30 trillion, leaving about 10 trillion. Residents sector debt is the most important real estate, interest is about 1 trillion more, interest protection factor is about 10, very high, so the residents sector debt problem is not big.


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